McCain in Ohio

The International Herald Tribune today runs an article on US Presidential candidate, Senator John McCain, returning to campaign in Ohio (“McCain, in Ohio, tries to get back in race”).

McCain is wise to make the effort, but alas I think it’s too little, too late. For me, the tipping point in Ohio was the way McCain reacted to the financial crisis last month. If McCain would have been able to articulate a link between Wall Street and Main Street, as Obama succeeded in doing, then suffering Ohioans could be more sympathetic. As it is, they now identify with Obama as someone who understands and cares about them.

As I’ve declared, I see Ohio going for Obama, by a slim 100,000 votes. I’m surprised McCain is not spending more time in Florida. The polls show a dead heat there, and I think there’s richer pickings. I’m betting McCain wins Florida by the slimmest of margins (here we go again), but if McCain makes no appeal in Florida before election day, then it’ll likely slip away.

I cannot understand what McCain was doing in Pennsylvania. A lot of effort to reduce Obama’s 10-point lead by a couple of percentage points.

My result prediction here

About Allan Leonard

Working for a cohesive Northern Ireland society My special interest is Northern Ireland affairs, arriving from America at the time of the 1994 ceasefires. Currently serve as Director, Northern Ireland Foundation, an independent non-profit organisation based in Belfast. Previous posts include Policy Officer at the Northern Ireland Assembly, General Secretary of the Alliance Party, and Operations Manager at the Ulster Historical Foundation. Previously, I was responsible for the development and launch of the Troubled Images project at the Northern Ireland Political Collection, Linen Hall Library; this exhibit travelled worldwide. My professional background includes marketing, communications, exhibition and event management, policy development, and senior management. Received a MA degree in Irish Political Studies from University College Dublin, and a BA degree (with Distinction) in International Relations from Boston University. Views expressed here may not represent those of current or previous employers or associations.

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